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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 37 games
78%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 31 game
84%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 24 games
63%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
82%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 30 games
57%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 29 games
62%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 26 games
73%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Kunkka
Kunkka
MieRo · 21 game
57%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 19 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
470 picks · 443 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 496 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
330 picks · 578 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 400 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 182 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 52%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total79% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:11
PARIVISION 67%BETBOOM TEAM 33%
The model gave 67% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinSatanic
47% · 195 games49% · 167 games
GyrocopterKiritych
Gyrocopter
Kunkka
KunkkaNo[o]ne
48% · 182 games52% · 143 games
Monkey KinggpK~
Monkey King
Undying
UndyingDM
53% · 25 games50% · 190 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Chen
ChenDukalis
54% · 130 games60% · 65 games
Naga SirenKataomi
Naga Siren
Rubick
Rubick9Class
48% · 188 games46% · 155 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Game 2prediction correct18:4
PARIVISION 67%BETBOOM TEAM 33%
The model gave 67% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 28:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaSatanic
39% · 106 games43% · 183 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Brewmaster
BrewmasterDM
53% · 71 game46% · 90 games
SnipergpK~
Sniper
Magnus
MagnusNo[o]ne
51% · 157 games60% · 93 games
TidehunterMieRo
Tidehunter
Naga Siren
Naga SirenDukalis
56% · 71 game51% · 91 game
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman9Class
49% · 86 games61% · 34 games
OracleKataomi
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 79%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2