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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO5
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 3:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 3:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 37 games
78%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 31 game
84%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 24 games
63%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
82%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 29 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pure~ · 27 games
59%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
MieRo · 22 games
59%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 457 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
457 picks · 539 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
436 picks · 214 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
340 picks · 622 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 429 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
291 picks · 631 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
285 picks · 204 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
273 picks · 78 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 52%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head7 – 2
Model total80% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:8
PARIVISION 69%BETBOOM TEAM 31%
The model gave 69% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 29:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenSatanic
48% · 147 games49% · 361 game
TinyKiritych
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
53% · 270 games44% · 86 games
SlardargpK~
Slardar
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
52% · 241 game50% · 106 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Pudge
Pudge9Class
51% · 19 games46% · 171 game
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Chen
ChenDukalis
55% · 79 games59% · 32 games
OracleKataomi
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct23:15
PARIVISION 67%BETBOOM TEAM 33%
The model gave 67% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 36:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerNo[o]ne
54% · 12 games45% · 30 games
LycanKiritych
Lycan
Mars
MarsSatanic
47% · 36 games46% · 12 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Brewmaster
BrewmasterDM
52% · 37 games51% · 35 games
HuskargpK~
Huskar
Undying
UndyingDukalis
41% · 12 games54% · 44 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Rubick
Rubick9Class
49% · 52 games56% · 28 games
OracleKataomi
Oracle
Game 3prediction correct21:23
PARIVISION 68%BETBOOM TEAM 32%
The model gave 68% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 47:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
45% · 239 games53% · 66 games
SnipergpK~
Sniper
Lycan
LycanDM
52% · 83 games57% · 126 games
TidehunterKiritych
Tidehunter
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
43% · 180 games49% · 191 game
MagnusMieRo
Magnus
Undying
UndyingDukalis
54% · 32 games52% · 228 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman9Class
49% · 96 games48% · 19 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 80%
Series resultPARIVISION 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3