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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 24 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
9Class · 19 games
58%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
41%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 16 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 14 games
57%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
No[o]ne · 13 games
54%

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Kataomi · 44 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
60%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 33 games
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 27 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 23 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
662 picks · 821 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 591 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
471 picks · 409 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
468 picks · 314 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
414 picks · 1073 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
389 picks · 694 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
382 picks · 622 bans
47%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
382 picks · 992 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head7 – 4
Model total52% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:41
PARIVISION 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 58:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaSatanic
49% · 64 games53% · 86 games
Faceless VoidKiritych
Faceless Void
Invoker
InvokerNo[o]ne
47% · 94 games50% · 291 game
Shadow FiendgpK~
Shadow Fiend
Batrider
BatriderSSS
49% · 265 games50% · 215 games
UnderlordMieRo
Underlord
Phoenix
PhoenixDukalis
55% · 151 game52% · 299 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Tusk
Tusk9Class
44% · 388 games54% · 71 game
OracleKataomi
Oracle
Game 2prediction missed26:21
PARIVISION 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 49:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSatanic
56% · 100 games51% · 141 game
MuertaKiritych
Muerta
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
54% · 281 game48% · 11 games
NecrophosgpK~
Necrophos
Tidehunter
TidehunterSSS
58% · 195 games39% · 79 games
BrewmasterMieRo
Brewmaster
Dazzle
DazzleDukalis
41% · 109 games46% · 311 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit9Class
46% · 29 games56% · 172 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2