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BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Heroicloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 15 games
53%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 12 games
75%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 11 games
82%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 11 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 11 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
DM · 11 games
55%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 11 games
64%

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 26 games
73%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 21 game
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 20 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 19 games
68%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Scofield · 19 games
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Parker · 17 games
76%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
4nalog · 15 games
47%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
K1 · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
500 picks · 686 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
428 picks · 485 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 540 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
348 picks · 179 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 463 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
321 picks · 642 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
314 picks · 323 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 49%
Hero pool strength51% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:7
PARIVISION 54%Heroic 46%
The model gave 54% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 24:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerCrystallis
54% · 23 games50% · 330 games
GyrocopterYuma
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinyNo[o]ne
41% · 342 games49% · 227 games
Ember Spirit4nalog
Ember Spirit
Magnus
MagnusDM
54% · 119 games48% · 263 games
DoomDavai
Doom
Batrider
Batrider9Class
50% · 335 games52% · 59 games
EarthshakerScofield
Earthshaker
Tusk
TuskPanto
52% · 215 games56% · 155 games
DisruptorKJ
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 56%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1