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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Heroicloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 39 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 29 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 23 games
78%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
55%

Heroic

Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 30 games
60%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Scofield · 29 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 26 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 25 games
64%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 23 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 20 games
55%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 19 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
4nalog · 18 games
72%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
484 picks · 523 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 477 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
365 picks · 204 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
357 picks · 360 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
349 picks · 742 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
346 picks · 520 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
324 picks · 208 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
320 picks · 509 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 55%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total88% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:14
PARIVISION 74%Heroic 26%
The model gave 74% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 32:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSatanic
47% · 135 games50% · 85 games
AbaddonYuma
Abaddon
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
51% · 201 game55% · 276 games
Monkey King4nalog
Monkey King
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiDM
46% · 60 games60% · 66 games
UndyingWisper
Undying
Chen
ChenDukalis
58% · 65 games41% · 153 games
Queen of PainScofield
Queen of Pain
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
48% · 164 games46% · 45 games
DisruptorKJ
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed23:39
PARIVISION 73%Heroic 27%
The model gave 73% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Heroic in 38:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerSatanic
38% · 4 games44% · 37 games
LinaYuma
Lina
Leshrac
LeshracNo[o]ne
53% · 48 games46% · 74 games
Puck4nalog
Puck
Undying
UndyingDM
54% · 92 games39% · 65 games
DawnbreakerWisper
Dawnbreaker
Bane
BaneDukalis
58% · 72 games53% · 104 games
Shadow ShamanScofield
Shadow Shaman
Night Stalker
Night Stalker9Class
58% · 87 games32% · 23 games
Ogre MagiKJ
Ogre Magi
Game 3prediction correct27:22
PARIVISION 75%Heroic 25%
The model gave 75% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:01:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSatanic
49% · 146 games46% · 84 games
BrewmasterWisper
Brewmaster
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
54% · 205 games46% · 143 games
LinaYuma
Lina
Undying
UndyingDM
57% · 56 games51% · 144 games
Void Spirit4nalog
Void Spirit
Chen
ChenDukalis
58% · 69 games50% · 150 games
EarthshakerScofield
Earthshaker
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
48% · 159 games44% · 114 games
Ogre MagiKJ
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 88%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3