?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 24 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
84%
Invoker
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
80%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 14 games
43%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 13 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 13 games
85%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
77%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
62%

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 31 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 26 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 26 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 23 games
65%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 22 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 21 game
71%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 20 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
622 picks · 969 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
511 picks · 434 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 624 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
437 picks · 1001 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
430 picks · 474 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
426 picks · 261 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 510 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
401 picks · 555 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 57%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:17
PARIVISION 49%OG 51%
The model gave 51% on OG — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 42:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSatanic
48% · 199 games66% · 91 game
ClinkzNatsumi
Clinkz
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
43% · 374 games47% · 335 games
Void SpiritYopaj
Void Spirit
Largo
LargoSSS
48% · 45 games53% · 179 games
Dark SeerForce
Dark Seer
Io
Io9Class
51% · 15 games53% · 275 games
BatriderSkem
Batrider
Jakiro
JakiroDukalis
43% · 301 game56% · 54 games
Spirit BreakerTims
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction correct36:19
PARIVISION 50%OG 50%
The model gave 50% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 50:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSatanic
52% · 220 games46% · 333 games
GyrocopterNatsumi
Gyrocopter
Slardar
SlardarNo[o]ne
50% · 252 games47% · 366 games
BeastmasterYopaj
Beastmaster
Mars
MarsSSS
48% · 303 games52% · 207 games
Dark SeerForce
Dark Seer
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
55% · 108 games52% · 390 games
Shadow DemonTims
Shadow Demon
Jakiro
JakiroDukalis
50% · 557 games48% · 144 games
ClockwerkSkem
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 52%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2