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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:1
REKONIXloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 34 games
68%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 25 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 24 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 22 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 19 games
68%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 18 games
78%

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 23 games
39%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 18 games
22%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 16 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 16 games
50%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 15 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 15 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
542 picks · 330 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
504 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 372 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 223 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
386 picks · 280 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 880 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
339 picks · 306 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
338 picks · 852 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 39%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total95% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
PARIVISION 80%REKONIX 20%
The model gave 80% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 22:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
50% · 197 games67% · 56 games
Lone DruidTraVins
Lone Druid
Tiny
TinySatanic
48% · 313 games53% · 164 games
DawnbreakerFbz
Dawnbreaker
Underlord
UnderlordNoticed
43% · 170 games52% · 457 games
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
Ember Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
43% · 84 games55% · 102 games
Liondalul
Lion
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeDukalis
38% · 65 games50% · 50 games
LichVarizh
Lich
Game 2prediction missed0:0
PARIVISION 84%REKONIX 16%
The model gave 84% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by REKONIX in 42:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaSatanic
45% · 206 games51% · 197 games
KezTraVins
Kez
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
51% · 409 games51% · 422 games
Queen of PaininYourdreaM
Queen of Pain
Slardar
SlardarNoticed
58% · 311 games52% · 184 games
Primal BeastFbz
Primal Beast
Enchantress
Enchantress9Class
53% · 172 games48% · 181 game
Clockwerkdalul
Clockwerk
Phoenix
PhoenixDukalis
46% · 313 games45% · 427 games
WarlockVarizh
Warlock
Game 3prediction correct50:23
PARIVISION 83%REKONIX 17%
The model gave 83% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 43:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerNo[o]ne
59% · 76 games53% · 23 games
NecrophosTraVins
Necrophos
Kez
KezSatanic
47% · 61 game42% · 31 game
Death ProphetFbz
Death Prophet
Axe
AxeNoticed
46% · 142 games45% · 288 games
PangolierinYourdreaM
Pangolier
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeDukalis
40% · 80 games53% · 85 games
SilencerVarizh
Silencer
Monkey King
Monkey King9Class
54% · 148 games55% · 80 games
Liondalul
Lion
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 95%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3