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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 31 game
77%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 28 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 28 games
82%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
69%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Satanic · 18 games
61%

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 31 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 21 game
38%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 21 game
38%
Windranger
Windranger
yowaai · 21 game
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 19 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ankou · 18 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ani-san · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
577 picks · 406 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
488 picks · 289 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
406 picks · 390 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 485 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
344 picks · 634 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
331 picks · 236 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
328 picks · 310 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 461 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 49%
Hero pool strength62% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total97% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:14
PARIVISION 86%Rune Eaters 14%
The model gave 86% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 36:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSatanic
52% · 276 games55% · 212 games
TerrorbladeDarkLord^
Terrorblade
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerNoticed
52% · 182 games50% · 344 games
BeastmasterCopy
Beastmaster
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
48% · 378 games50% · 375 games
SnapfireMalik
Snapfire
Clockwerk
ClockwerkDukalis
43% · 226 games51% · 206 games
Nature's ProphetEkki
Nature's Prophet
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
44% · 170 games56% · 95 games
Lichaik
Lich
Game 2prediction correct44:10
PARIVISION 86%Rune Eaters 14%
The model gave 86% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSatanic
51% · 143 games61% · 10 games
LinaDarkLord^
Lina
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
47% · 355 games52% · 206 games
SlardarCopy
Slardar
Dark Seer
Dark SeerNoticed
45% · 74 games59% · 239 games
SnapfireMalik
Snapfire
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit9Class
47% · 56 games49% · 170 games
RubickEkki
Rubick
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernDukalis
44% · 71 game51% · 74 games
Treant Protectoraik
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 97%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2