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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 37 games
81%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 29 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 25 games
60%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
77%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 44 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 34 games
71%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 25 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 25 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 24 games
71%
Silencer
Silencersignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
62%
Phoenix
Phoenix
iNSaNiA · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
486 picks · 481 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
444 picks · 547 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
423 picks · 199 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
322 picks · 578 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
285 picks · 398 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
281 picks · 594 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
279 picks · 174 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
261 picks · 465 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 52%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head10 – 2
Model total82% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:16
PARIVISION 70%Team Liquid 30%
The model gave 70% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 42:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSatanic
51% · 29 games54% · 94 games
LunaV-Tune
Luna
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDM
49% · 186 games51% · 85 games
Void SpiritNisha
Void Spirit
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
48% · 189 games39% · 246 games
BatriderBoxi
Batrider
Rubick
Rubick9Class
46% · 161 game60% · 48 games
OmniknightSabeRLight-
Omniknight
Undying
UndyingDukalis
60% · 18 games56% · 110 games
Elder TitaniNSaNiA
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct43:36
PARIVISION 69%Team Liquid 31%
The model gave 69% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaSatanic
44% · 74 games44% · 166 games
TerrorbladeV-Tune
Terrorblade
Brewmaster
BrewmasterDM
45% · 56 games55% · 33 games
Void SpiritNisha
Void Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
51% · 193 games49% · 140 games
MagnusSabeRLight-
Magnus
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman9Class
51% · 110 games50% · 46 games
SilencerBoxi
Silencer
Undying
UndyingDukalis
66% · 21 game57% · 69 games
Ancient ApparitioniNSaNiA
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 82%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2