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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 38 games
76%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 29 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 21 game
81%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 43 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 31 game
68%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 30 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 25 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 24 games
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 24 games
71%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Boxi · 23 games
43%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
miCKe · 23 games
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
476 picks · 517 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
466 picks · 497 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
387 picks · 211 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
365 picks · 364 bans
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
354 picks · 767 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
350 picks · 526 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
346 picks · 225 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
329 picks · 516 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% PARIVISION
Head-to-head11 – 4
Model total62% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:29
PARIVISION 60%Team Liquid 40%
The model gave 60% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 25:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
49% · 108 games49% · 224 games
SvenmiCKe
Sven
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
50% · 131 game42% · 102 games
LeshracNisha
Leshrac
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
54% · 178 games55% · 37 games
VenomancerSabeRLight-
Venomancer
Doom
Doom9Class
53% · 111 games44% · 151 game
MarciBoxi
Marci
Mirana
MiranaDukalis
54% · 59 games55% · 73 games
DisruptoriNSaNiA
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed25:27
PARIVISION 57%Team Liquid 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 46:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerSatanic
49% · 10 games49% · 114 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
51% · 289 games56% · 99 games
Void SpiritNisha
Void Spirit
Abaddon
AbaddonDM
50% · 109 games49% · 89 games
MarsSabeRLight-
Mars
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
48% · 251 game49% · 290 games
BatriderBoxi
Batrider
Venomancer
VenomancerDukalis
50% · 42 games50% · 109 games
WarlockiNSaNiA
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 62%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2