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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Yandexloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 31 game
84%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 29 games
69%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 29 games
69%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 26 games
81%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Noticed · 25 games
60%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 25 games
80%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
78%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Satanic · 21 game
67%

Team Yandex

Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 24 games
83%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 20 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 19 games
63%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 18 games
67%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 16 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
486 picks · 336 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
357 picks · 448 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 541 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 488 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
316 picks · 642 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
293 picks · 321 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
283 picks · 208 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
274 picks · 436 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 69%
Hero pool strength54% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total77% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:12
PARIVISION 66%Team Yandex 34%
The model gave 66% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 52:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidSatanic
53% · 86 games51% · 223 games
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
49% · 411 games39% · 51 game
LinaChira JUNIOR
Lina
Slardar
SlardarNoticed
48% · 421 game51% · 288 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
62% · 171 game49% · 101 game
UndyingMalady
Undying
Techies
TechiesDukalis
46% · 169 games49% · 595 games
HoodwinkSaksa
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed20:30
PARIVISION 64%Team Yandex 36%
The model gave 64% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 44:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSatanic
46% · 152 games49% · 124 games
LunaWatson
Luna
Slardar
SlardarNoticed
48% · 253 games52% · 226 games
TidehunterDM
Tidehunter
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
51% · 283 games50% · 344 games
SnapfireChira JUNIOR
Snapfire
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiDukalis
50% · 39 games56% · 114 games
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
43% · 138 games57% · 57 games
Bounty HunterSaksa
Bounty Hunter
Game 3prediction correct39:15
PARIVISION 64%Team Yandex 36%
The model gave 64% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 49:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawNoticed
48% · 136 games58% · 155 games
Nature's ProphetWatson
Nature's Prophet
Tiny
TinySatanic
45% · 284 games56% · 173 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
43% · 108 games53% · 191 game
TidehunterDM
Tidehunter
Enchantress
EnchantressDukalis
50% · 128 games50% · 128 games
MiranaSaksa
Mirana
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
42% · 145 games54% · 154 games
UndyingMalady
Undying
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 77%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3