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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tundra Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
66%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
72%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
65%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 20 games
80%

Tundra Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 36 games
69%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 33 games
70%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 31 game
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
bzm · 30 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
33 · 29 games
48%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 28 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
33 · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
bzm · 27 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
552 picks · 343 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
427 picks · 359 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 508 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
324 picks · 849 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
313 picks · 801 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
313 picks · 213 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% PARIVISION
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total74% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:24
PARIVISION 62%Tundra Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 44:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidSatanic
50% · 137 games50% · 83 games
Lycan33
Lycan
Viper
ViperNo[o]ne
43% · 135 games54% · 204 games
WindrangerPure~
Windranger
Pangolier
PangolierNoticed
43% · 350 games55% · 215 games
Snapfirebzm
Snapfire
Techies
TechiesDukalis
46% · 78 games53% · 360 games
TuskWhitemon
Tusk
Marci
Marci9Class
50% · 257 games54% · 95 games
Keeper of the LightAri
Keeper of the Light
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 74%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1