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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 25 games
72%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
84%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 16 games
81%
Invoker
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
80%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
60%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 14 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Dukalis · 13 games
85%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 32 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 29 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 26 games
35%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 26 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 22 games
32%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 22 games
36%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Moon · 21 game
48%
Mars
Marsoften banned
zeal · 19 games
37%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
636 picks · 990 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
527 picks · 442 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
462 picks · 634 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
444 picks · 1037 bans
56%
Warlock
Warlock
443 picks · 269 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 483 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 515 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
420 picks · 575 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 33%
Hero pool strength64% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total93% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:14
PARIVISION 78%Yakult Brothers 22%
The model gave 78% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 27:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezSatanic
45% · 62 games50% · 72 games
ViperMoon
Viper
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSSS
47% · 98 games57% · 46 games
Phantom Assassinflyfly
Phantom Assassin
Razor
RazorNo[o]ne
46% · 55 games53% · 333 games
Centaur WarrunnerYang
Centaur Warrunner
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon9Class
44% · 180 games60% · 96 games
Invoker天命
Invoker
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
47% · 174 games50% · 22 games
AlchemistBoBoKa
Alchemist
Game 2prediction correct38:7
PARIVISION 81%Yakult Brothers 19%
The model gave 81% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 29:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSatanic
46% · 307 games49% · 298 games
TimbersawYang
Timbersaw
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
54% · 301 game62% · 116 games
Clinkzflyfly
Clinkz
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSSS
47% · 150 games50% · 439 games
Storm SpiritMoon
Storm Spirit
Ringmaster
Ringmaster9Class
51% · 326 games48% · 304 games
WindrangerBoBoKa
Windranger
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
44% · 232 games51% · 159 games
Clockwerk天命
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 93%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2