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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 24 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
9Class · 19 games
58%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 17 games
53%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 17 games
41%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
41%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
SSS · 13 games
31%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 30 games
47%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 28 games
36%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 26 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 23 games
30%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Moon · 21 game
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 19 games
32%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
BoBoKa · 17 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
688 picks · 847 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
594 picks · 612 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
492 picks · 425 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
489 picks · 337 bans
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
424 picks · 1111 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
404 picks · 1033 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 701 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
390 picks · 631 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total85% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:13
PARIVISION 72%Yakult Brothers 28%
The model gave 72% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 32:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverSatanic
54% · 112 games62% · 67 games
ClinkzGhost
Clinkz
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSSS
44% · 383 games55% · 181 game
BristlebackYang
Bristleback
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
46% · 198 games47% · 177 games
PangolierMoon
Pangolier
Lich
LichDukalis
50% · 14 games48% · 19 games
Venomancer天命
Venomancer
Rubick
Rubick9Class
45% · 49 games53% · 312 games
TuskBoBoKa
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct31:14
PARIVISION 73%Yakult Brothers 27%
The model gave 73% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverSatanic
44% · 118 games37% · 15 games
NecrophosGhost
Necrophos
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet9Class
52% · 225 games51% · 390 games
PuckMoon
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
56% · 317 games49% · 249 games
SlardarYang
Slardar
Tidehunter
TidehunterSSS
50% · 202 games50% · 364 games
Batrider天命
Batrider
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
47% · 364 games51% · 208 games
MarciBoBoKa
Marci
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 85%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2