BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionPUPasika UAloss 0:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CCheeki_Breekiwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pasika UA
No games played over 6 months.
Cheeki_Breeki
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
611 picks · 621 bans
Snapfire
519 picks · 203 bans
Dragon Knight
515 picks · 693 bans
Tusk
513 picks · 329 bans
Hoodwink
464 picks · 231 bans
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 533 bans
Mars
407 picks · 554 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 565 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Pasika UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Cheeki_Breeki
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:53
Pasika UA 42%Cheeki_Breeki 58%
The model gave 58% on Cheeki_Breeki — the game was taken by Cheeki_Breeki in 36:26.
Game 2prediction correct34:18
Pasika UA 42%Cheeki_Breeki 58%
The model gave 58% on Cheeki_Breeki — the game was taken by Cheeki_Breeki in 28:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteCheeki_Breeki · 58%
Series resultCheeki_Breeki 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2