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CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4Piratesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 32 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
flacko · 27 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 26 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 26 games
46%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 23 games
70%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 20 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
niche · 20 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
flacko · 19 games
53%

4Pirates

Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 17 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
ariel · 15 games
47%
Muerta
Muerta
ariel · 14 games
36%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Otaker · 13 games
54%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 13 games
54%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
PERDAN4IK · 12 games
42%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 12 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ariel · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 654 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
497 picks · 796 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
481 picks · 480 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
454 picks · 553 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
422 picks · 362 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
417 picks · 1007 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 763 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
388 picks · 911 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 49%
Hero pool strength53% Passion UA
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total64% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 64%4Pirates 36%
The model gave 64% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 64%4Pirates 36%
The model gave 64% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 64%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2