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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:1
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Aim Possibleloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 23 games
35%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 19 games
53%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 17 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 16 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 14 games
21%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%
Windranger
Windranger
QBFY · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 12 games
33%

Aim Possible

Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
chempik · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Aidar · 4 games
25%
Warlock
Warlock
Aidar · 4 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 3 games
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Htrd · 2 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Htrd · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Rain · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
540 picks · 607 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
486 picks · 244 bans
52%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
434 picks · 475 bans
56%
Jakiro
Jakiro
430 picks · 376 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
406 picks · 849 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
389 picks · 364 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
381 picks · 553 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
365 picks · 532 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 37%
Hero pool strength51% Passion UA
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total71% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 71%Aim Possible 29%
The model gave 71% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction missed
Passion UA 71%Aim Possible 29%
The model gave 71% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Aim Possible.
Game 3prediction correct
Passion UA 71%Aim Possible 29%
The model gave 71% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 71%
Series resultPassion UA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3