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CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASAKURAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 27 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
flacko · 26 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Fernans · 25 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 24 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 24 games
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 20 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 19 games
58%

ASAKURA

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 13 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 12 games
83%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
36%
Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
young G · 11 games
55%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 10 games
70%
Lich
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Infernal · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
560 picks · 794 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
452 picks · 328 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
439 picks · 705 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
417 picks · 752 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
411 picks · 402 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
405 picks · 892 bans
57%
Magnus
Magnus
399 picks · 1073 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
387 picks · 532 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% ASAKURA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 58%ASAKURA 42%
The model gave 58% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 58%ASAKURA 42%
The model gave 58% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 58%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2