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CCT Season 2 Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Snapfire
Snapfire
kreker · 37 games
51%
Tiny
Tinysignature
QBFY · 27 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Crystallize · 25 games
44%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 24 games
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Batyuk · 24 games
58%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Crystallize · 23 games
61%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Crystallize · 22 games
68%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Moonlight · 22 games
55%

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 30 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 28 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 25 games
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 24 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
v1olent- · 23 games
65%
Warlock
Warlock
RESPECT · 22 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
erase · 21 game
71%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
erase · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
775 picks · 361 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
582 picks · 300 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
570 picks · 573 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
507 picks · 354 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
497 picks · 598 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 273 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
476 picks · 748 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
431 picks · 494 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 51%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total55% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:35
Passion UA 47%HULIGANI 53%
The model gave 53% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 51:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverCrystallize
48% · 101 game52% · 277 games
Ursav1olent-
Ursa
Pangolier
PangolierBatyuk
50% · 416 games45% · 324 games
Queen of Painerase
Queen of Pain
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMoonlight
49% · 367 games51% · 198 games
Primal BeastBb3px
Primal Beast
Batrider
Batriderkreker
55% · 346 games49% · 486 games
JakiroRESPECT
Jakiro
Ringmaster
RingmasterQBFY
47% · 270 games53% · 215 games
Pugnaslimeyao
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct12:43
Passion UA 47%HULIGANI 53%
The model gave 53% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 28:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
ViperBatyuk
54% · 40 games59% · 264 games
Terrorbladev1olent-
Terrorblade
Marci
MarciCrystallize
48% · 237 games53% · 279 games
BeastmasterBb3px
Beastmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMoonlight
48% · 420 games49% · 332 games
Pangoliererase
Pangolier
Jakiro
Jakirokreker
43% · 447 games45% · 172 games
Pugnaslimeyao
Pugna
Pudge
PudgeQBFY
50% · 73 games54% · 170 games
BaneRESPECT
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 55%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2