DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NN3X7loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Passion UA
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 9 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 9 games
Marsoften banned
Batyuk · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
yowaai · 9 games
Timbersawsignature
Batyuk · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 8 games
Snapfire
Fernans · 8 games
N3X7
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
330 picks · 317 bans
Hoodwink
325 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 458 bans
Snapfire
315 picks · 263 bans
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 445 bans
Enchantress
284 picks · 475 bans
Sven
283 picks · 297 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% N3X7
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 64%N3X7 36%
The model gave 64% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 64%N3X7 36%
The model gave 64% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 64%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2