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European Pro League Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Odiumloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 26 games
58%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Crystallize · 22 games
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 15 games
40%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
QBFY · 15 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Moonlight · 13 games
77%
Windranger
Windranger
QBFY · 13 games
31%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Crystallize · 11 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 11 games
27%

Odium

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Lil · 5 games
80%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Actor · 4 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
lupsione · 4 games
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
lupsione · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 3 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lil · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rain · 3 games
67%
Marci
Marcioften banned
lupsione · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
574 picks · 590 bans
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
370 picks · 216 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
369 picks · 424 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
356 picks · 358 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
337 picks · 508 bans
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
325 picks · 692 bans
46%
Puck
Puck
324 picks · 859 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
305 picks · 627 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Odium
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:12
Passion UA 64%Odium 36%
The model gave 64% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA in 26:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskar
HuskarBatyuk
51% · 31 game58% · 157 games
Templar Assassinselfhate
Templar Assassin
Doom
DoomCrystallize
55% · 218 games44% · 85 games
AxeActor
Axe
Leshrac
LeshracMoonlight
48% · 92 games54% · 141 game
InvokerRain
Invoker
Silencer
Silencerkreker
44% · 82 games45% · 192 games
DawnbreakerLil
Dawnbreaker
Tiny
TinyQBFY
51% · 347 games49% · 195 games
Dark Willowlupsione
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct50:31
Passion UA 62%Odium 38%
The model gave 62% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetCrystallize
52% · 230 games61% · 74 games
Keeper of the LightRain
Keeper of the Light
Venomancer
VenomancerBatyuk
40% · 19 games49% · 225 games
Monkey Kingselfhate
Monkey King
Leshrac
LeshracMoonlight
49% · 98 games44% · 120 games
MarsActor
Mars
Tiny
TinyQBFY
51% · 301 game49% · 280 games
Tusklupsione
Tusk
Disruptor
Disruptorkreker
53% · 60 games46% · 9 games
Witch DoctorLil
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 74%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2