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CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:1
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Quantum Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 32 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
flacko · 27 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 26 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 26 games
46%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 23 games
70%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 20 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
niche · 20 games
60%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 19 games
47%

Quantum Team

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 12 games
58%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 11 games
36%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
40%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
30%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
11%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 9 games
44%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 9 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Somnia · 8 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 667 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
491 picks · 797 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
477 picks · 478 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
450 picks · 547 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
422 picks · 361 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
416 picks · 999 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
391 picks · 763 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
389 picks · 910 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 44%
Hero pool strength58% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:16
Passion UA 63%Quantum Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA in 44:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinCrystallize
38% · 29 games47% · 62 games
Drow RangerLukas
Drow Ranger
Magnus
MagnusBatyuk
54% · 79 games57% · 73 games
Underlordtakizawa
Underlord
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritniche
46% · 94 games53% · 59 games
KunkkaRvze
Kunkka
Phoenix
Phoenixkreker
46% · 133 games51% · 94 games
Leshrackolya_kaBAN68
Leshrac
Muerta
MuertaFernans
50% · 99 games53% · 146 games
Elder TitanFezor
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed10:33
Passion UA 63%Quantum Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 34:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenCrystallize
42% · 140 games52% · 79 games
SlarkLukas
Slark
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritniche
45% · 206 games55% · 53 games
HuskarRvze
Huskar
Primal Beast
Primal BeastBatyuk
49% · 183 games54% · 80 games
Tidehuntertakizawa
Tidehunter
Phoenix
Phoenixkreker
50% · 250 games56% · 384 games
Crystal MaidenFezor
Crystal Maiden
Rubick
RubickFernans
46% · 305 games52% · 488 games
Tinykolya_kaBAN68
Tiny
Game 3prediction correct42:22
Passion UA 63%Quantum Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA in 48:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenCrystallize
48% · 153 games54% · 387 games
TinyLukas
Tiny
Tidehunter
TidehunterBatyuk
54% · 85 games51% · 107 games
LeshracRvze
Leshrac
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritniche
51% · 216 games42% · 67 games
Night Stalkertakizawa
Night Stalker
Windranger
WindrangerFernans
47% · 162 games50% · 197 games
Dark Willowkolya_kaBAN68
Dark Willow
Phoenix
Phoenixkreker
52% · 309 games49% · 167 games
Elder TitanFezor
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 75%
Series resultPassion UA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3