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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ShashMinloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 28 games
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 22 games
45%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 18 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 18 games
44%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 18 games
56%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 16 games
31%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 15 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%

ShashMin

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
476 picks · 447 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
342 picks · 636 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 648 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
284 picks · 218 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% ShashMin
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 63%ShashMin 37%
The model gave 63% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction missed
Passion UA 63%ShashMin 37%
The model gave 63% on Passion UA — the game was taken by ShashMin.
Game 3prediction correct
Passion UA 63%ShashMin 37%
The model gave 63% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 63%
Series resultPassion UA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3