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European Pro League Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAloss 1:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 22 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
Batyuk · 19 games
63%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 13 games
46%
Windranger
Windranger
QBFY · 13 games
31%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 12 games
25%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 12 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Batyuk · 10 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
QBFY · 10 games
40%

Wildcard Gaming

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 25 games
56%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 22 games
73%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 22 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 21 game
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 20 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 19 games
58%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
535 picks · 559 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
415 picks · 419 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
364 picks · 388 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
345 picks · 516 bans
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
324 picks · 715 bans
45%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
321 picks · 197 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
313 picks · 591 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
300 picks · 440 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Passion UA 38%Wildcard Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 38%Wildcard Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming.
Game 3prediction correct
Passion UA 38%Wildcard Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 62%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3