FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Perro Negrowin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LLowProfileloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Perro Negro
Enchantressoften banned
Mjz · 12 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
Wits · 8 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
Wits · 5 games
Lich
Mjz · 4 games
Magnusoften banned
kendallx · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Wits · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Wits · 3 games
LowProfile
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
470 picks · 587 bans
Muerta
464 picks · 399 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 561 bans
Clockwerk
431 picks · 533 bans
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 775 bans
Tiny
417 picks · 469 bans
Magnus
400 picks · 877 bans
Lion
397 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Perro Negro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Perro Negro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Perro Negro 71%LowProfile 29%
The model gave 71% on Perro Negro — the game was taken by Perro Negro.
Game 2prediction correct
Perro Negro 71%LowProfile 29%
The model gave 71% on Perro Negro — the game was taken by Perro Negro.
Model check result
Model favoritePerro Negro · 71%
Series resultPerro Negro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2