ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Pipsqueak+4win 1:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DOGSENTloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pipsqueak+4
Warlock
Kidaro · 42 games
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 34 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Palantimos · 33 games
Marsoften banned
Nande · 30 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 30 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 29 games
Tusk
Ekki · 29 games
Batridersignature
Ekki · 28 games
DOGSENT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
562 picks · 737 bans
Tusk
504 picks · 356 bans
Dragon Knight
475 picks · 648 bans
Centaur Warrunner
448 picks · 550 bans
Shadow Demon
379 picks · 631 bans
Gyrocopter
368 picks · 546 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 121 bans
Hoodwink
363 picks · 175 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Pipsqueak+4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Pipsqueak+4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Pipsqueak+4 89%DOGSENT 11%
The model gave 89% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4.
Model check result
Model favoritePipsqueak+4 · 89%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1