Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Pipsqueak+4win 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Flame Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pipsqueak+4
Hoodwink
Ekki · 27 games
Jakiro
aik · 27 games
Underlordsignature
Palantimos · 27 games
Tusk
Ekki · 24 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Warlock
aik · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Ekki · 19 games
Flame Esports
Rubick
Jeezy · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
emptiness · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Stoic · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 2 games
Doomoften banned
emptiness · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
legacy · 2 games
Techies
Jeezy · 2 games
Tusk
Stoic · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
587 picks · 357 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
Rubick
471 picks · 252 bans
Tiny
446 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
395 picks · 546 bans
Puck
334 picks · 900 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 833 bans
Tusk
317 picks · 272 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Flame Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Pipsqueak+4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct1:1
Pipsqueak+4 65%Flame Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 34:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidDarkLord^
WindrangerShad
Void SpiritCopy
Viperemptiness
AxeMalik
ClockwerkStoic
RubickEkki
HoodwinkJeezy
Techiesaik
Game 2prediction correct0:0
Pipsqueak+4 65%Flame Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 46:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SnapfireMalik
Naga SirenShad
ClinkzDarkLord^
Beastmasteremptiness
SlardarCopy
RubickJeezy
Treant Protectoraik
SilencerStoic
LionEkki
Model check result
Model favoritePipsqueak+4 · 78%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2