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BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Pipsqueak+4win 1:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Pipsqueak+4

Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 40 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 31 game
61%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Nande · 30 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 29 games
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 29 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Palantimos · 28 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Ekki · 27 games
56%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 26 games
69%

Yellow Submarine

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 30 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
mrls · 30 games
37%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Xakoda · 27 games
41%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 26 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 25 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 25 games
52%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 25 games
36%
Snapfire
Snapfire
sayuw · 25 games
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
609 picks · 620 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
519 picks · 203 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
515 picks · 691 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
512 picks · 326 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
464 picks · 231 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 532 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
407 picks · 553 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
388 picks · 565 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Pipsqueak+4
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Pipsqueak+4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:7
Pipsqueak+4 55%Yellow Submarine 45%
The model gave 55% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 35:20.
Model check result
Model favoritePipsqueak+4 · 55%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1