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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
PlayTimeloss 1:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 15 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Kuku · 10 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Wits · 9 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
DarkMago · 9 games
67%
Viper
Vipersignature
Armel · 8 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 7 games
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Wits · 7 games
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 7 games
57%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 37 games
59%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 36 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
61%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Save- · 23 games
57%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 23 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
525 picks · 315 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
493 picks · 583 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
441 picks · 355 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
396 picks · 299 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
388 picks · 211 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
346 picks · 311 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
338 picks · 863 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
333 picks · 850 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:20
PlayTime 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PlayTime in 48:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomWits
46% · 209 games46% · 419 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDarkMago
57% · 421 game49% · 520 games
TinyKiritych
Tiny
Underlord
UnderlordFrank
48% · 192 games58% · 72 games
MagnusMieRo
Magnus
Hoodwink
HoodwinkScofield
55% · 358 games47% · 232 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Enchantress
EnchantressElmisho
47% · 125 games46% · 62 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Game 2prediction correct2:31
PlayTime 34%BETBOOM TEAM 66%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDarkMago
49% · 304 games52% · 218 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Tiny
TinyWits
49% · 354 games50% · 399 games
SnapfiregpK~
Snapfire
Underlord
UnderlordFrank
48% · 154 games47% · 456 games
PangolierMieRo
Pangolier
Enchantress
EnchantressElmisho
50% · 143 games48% · 307 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Hoodwink
HoodwinkScofield
59% · 462 games46% · 37 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Game 3prediction correct14:23
PlayTime 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomWits
48% · 177 games50% · 141 game
KezKiritych
Kez
Pangolier
PangolierDarkMago
38% · 331 game50% · 369 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Axe
AxeFrank
50% · 179 games67% · 100 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Phoenix
PhoenixElmisho
47% · 344 games55% · 415 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageScofield
42% · 124 games55% · 130 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 79%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3