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Игры Будущего 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PlayTimewin 2:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Execrationloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PlayTime

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 21 game
57%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 12 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 12 games
58%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 11 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Elmisho · 11 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
20%

Execration

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 8 games
25%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Bob · 7 games
29%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Tino- · 7 games
71%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Bob · 7 games
14%
Bane
Banesignature
cml · 6 games
67%
Doom
Doomsignature
Tino- · 6 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shanks · 6 games
17%
Largo
Largooften banned
Shanks · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
518 picks · 372 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 226 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
371 picks · 652 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
344 picks · 348 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
323 picks · 236 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
319 picks · 338 bans
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
306 picks · 443 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
296 picks · 391 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% PlayTime
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% PlayTime
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:38
PlayTime 59%Execration 41%
The model gave 59% on PlayTime — the game was taken by Execration in 56:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyWits
40% · 417 games57% · 49 games
LinaAkashi
Lina
Invoker
InvokerAbed
52% · 148 games55% · 561 game
Ember SpiritBob
Ember Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerJabz
42% · 105 games53% · 432 games
Centaur WarrunnerTino-
Centaur Warrunner
Hoodwink
HoodwinkElmisho
43% · 503 games57% · 220 games
Keeper of the LightShanks
Keeper of the Light
Tusk
TuskScofield
47% · 393 games56% · 304 games
Banecml
Bane
Game 2prediction correct39:22
PlayTime 60%Execration 40%
The model gave 60% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 45:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawJabz
47% · 98 games50% · 17 games
BroodmotherAkashi
Broodmother
Doom
DoomWits
57% · 121 game46% · 62 games
Dark SeerTino-
Dark Seer
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritAbed
54% · 197 games44% · 250 games
SnapfireBob
Snapfire
Mirana
MiranaElmisho
44% · 38 games57% · 77 games
Earth SpiritShanks
Earth Spirit
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinScofield
53% · 31 game48% · 79 games
Winter Wyverncml
Winter Wyvern
Game 3prediction correct27:36
PlayTime 62%Execration 38%
The model gave 62% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 47:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerAbed
54% · 202 games44% · 56 games
Drow RangerAkashi
Drow Ranger
Necrophos
NecrophosJabz
48% · 82 games48% · 150 games
Centaur WarrunnerTino-
Centaur Warrunner
Clinkz
ClinkzWits
53% · 88 games47% · 117 games
BatriderBob
Batrider
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorElmisho
56% · 186 games49% · 244 games
HoodwinkShanks
Hoodwink
Earthshaker
EarthshakerScofield
48% · 132 games50% · 123 games
Banecml
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritePlayTime · 66%
Series resultPlayTime 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3