BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PlayTime
Tusk
DJ · 10 games
Puckoften banned
Armel · 7 games
Timbersawsignature
Gabbi · 7 games
Void Spiritsignature
Armel · 6 games
Jakirooften banned
Kuku · 5 games
Phantom Assassin
Gabbi · 5 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Kuku · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 4 games
InterActive Philippines
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Kimizu · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Earthshaker
Nishababy · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Primal Beast
Kimizu · 1 game
Sand King
Nishababy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
677 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1139 bans
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 686 bans
Mars
395 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% PlayTime
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% PlayTime
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
PlayTime 64%InterActive Philippines 36%
The model gave 64% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime.
Game 2prediction correct
PlayTime 64%InterActive Philippines 36%
The model gave 64% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime.
Model check result
Model favoritePlayTime · 64%
Series resultPlayTime 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2