BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportsloss 1:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Lilgunloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Polaris Esports
Lionsignature
cml · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
Force · 14 games
Tidehuntersignature
Force · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Mac · 10 games
Banesignature
cml · 9 games
Grimstrokesignature
Boomy · 9 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 9 games
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 374 bans
Queen of Pain
479 picks · 574 bans
Mars
445 picks · 615 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 801 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 171 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 574 bans
Kunkka
342 picks · 545 bans
Wraith King
285 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 53%
Hero pool strength60% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 70%