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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Poor Rangersloss 0:2
series probability
6%94%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Poor Rangers

Disruptor
Disruptor
Hduo · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
TA2000 · 4 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Hduo · 3 games
33%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Alberkaaa · 3 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
nicky`cool · 3 games
67%
Windranger
Windranger
Immersion · 3 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
50%

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 32 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 24 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Cr1t- · 22 games
59%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 22 games
59%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
617 picks · 442 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 315 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 381 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 585 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
381 picks · 420 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 500 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
338 picks · 630 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 66%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:37
Poor Rangers 19%Team Falcons 81%
The model gave 81% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 31:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawnicky`cool
43% · 112 games52% · 18 games
SpectreSkiter
Spectre
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
54% · 164 games47% · 202 games
AxeATF
Axe
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerTA2000
42% · 61 game59% · 68 games
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
Earth Spirit
Windranger
WindrangerImmersion
46% · 129 games46% · 124 games
EnchantressCr1t-
Enchantress
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernHduo
56% · 42 games61% · 96 games
UndyingSneyking
Undying
Game 2prediction correct17:37
Poor Rangers 19%Team Falcons 81%
The model gave 81% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 33:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritTA2000
49% · 254 games55% · 94 games
ClinkzSkiter
Clinkz
Snapfire
Snapfirenicky`cool
42% · 202 games52% · 294 games
TimbersawATF
Timbersaw
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
50% · 216 games48% · 77 games
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
Earth Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkImmersion
50% · 325 games51% · 274 games
EnchantressCr1t-
Enchantress
Undying
UndyingHduo
50% · 87 games53% · 345 games
RingmasterSneyking
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 94%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2