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FISSURE Universe: Episode 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangersloss 1:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 15 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 12 games
75%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 11 games
64%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 11 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 10 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 9 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 8 games
75%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 8 games
75%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 45 games
60%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 23 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
55%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 22 games
68%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 20 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
578 picks · 924 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
543 picks · 411 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 662 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
490 picks · 635 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
424 picks · 913 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
386 picks · 633 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
377 picks · 520 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
365 picks · 226 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:10
Power Rangers 27%BETBOOM TEAM 73%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 31:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svennesfeer
41% · 141 game53% · 119 games
Shadow FiendKiritych
Shadow Fiend
Tiny
Tinynicky`cool
46% · 364 games54% · 24 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Razor
RazorAlberkaaa
56% · 58 games51% · 108 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionHduo
50% · 157 games46% · 189 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorImmersion
62% · 59 games48% · 339 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct12:40
Power Rangers 27%BETBOOM TEAM 73%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
Snipernicky`cool
44% · 82 games48% · 110 games
Shadow FiendgpK~
Shadow Fiend
Viper
Vipernesfeer
53% · 91 game46% · 148 games
AbaddonKiritych
Abaddon
Mars
MarsAlberkaaa
50% · 419 games54% · 204 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Phoenix
PhoenixImmersion
51% · 213 games50% · 256 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorHduo
58% · 67 games47% · 154 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction correct40:41
Power Rangers 27%BETBOOM TEAM 73%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:09:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinnesfeer
49% · 220 games50% · 254 games
GyrocopterKiritych
Gyrocopter
Timbersaw
TimbersawAlberkaaa
46% · 217 games50% · 183 games
BeastmastergpK~
Beastmaster
Sniper
Snipernicky`cool
43% · 82 games50% · 30 games
OmniknightMieRo
Omniknight
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorImmersion
69% · 42 games52% · 101 game
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
Ancient Apparition
Disruptor
DisruptorHduo
47% · 199 games52% · 192 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 88%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3