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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangersloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 26 games
54%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 21 game
71%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 19 games
53%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 18 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 17 games
71%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 16 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 16 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
Alberkaaa · 14 games
71%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
VaniLLl · 15 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 11 games
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
ariel · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 9 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 9 games
44%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Covisnine · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
635 picks · 695 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
513 picks · 450 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 395 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
410 picks · 367 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
389 picks · 1081 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
385 picks · 812 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
379 picks · 564 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:43
Power Rangers 56%Nemiga Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 40:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistTA2000
54% · 61 game53% · 72 games
Faceless Voidselfhate
Faceless Void
Void Spirit
Void Spiritnicky`cool
46% · 369 games48% · 462 games
Puckyoung G
Puck
Bristleback
BristlebackAlberkaaa
54% · 211 games64% · 6 games
Legion CommanderCovisnine
Legion Commander
Rubick
RubickImmersion
47% · 93 games51% · 275 games
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Phoenix
PhoenixHduo
51% · 163 games45% · 82 games
SilencerVaniLLl
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed33:46
Power Rangers 61%Nemiga Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 49:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyTA2000
53% · 586 games43% · 138 games
Monkey Kingselfhate
Monkey King
Viper
ViperAlberkaaa
55% · 163 games42% · 197 games
Void Spirityoung G
Void Spirit
Sand King
Sand Kingnicky`cool
57% · 260 games45% · 184 games
TidehunterCovisnine
Tidehunter
Hoodwink
HoodwinkImmersion
54% · 429 games48% · 426 games
Tuskariel
Tusk
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernHduo
63% · 4 games46% · 497 games
JakiroVaniLLl
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 65%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2