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European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Nemesisloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 33 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 30 games
53%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 27 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 20 games
65%

Team Nemesis

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mac · 20 games
60%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
56%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Q · 18 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 16 games
44%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 15 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 15 games
40%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 15 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
511 picks · 279 bans
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
483 picks · 565 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 352 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
442 picks · 346 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
378 picks · 326 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
348 picks · 836 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 842 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
334 picks · 177 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Power Rangers 72%Team Nemesis 28%
The model gave 72% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Game 2prediction correct
Power Rangers 72%Team Nemesis 28%
The model gave 72% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 72%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2