European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Stelsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Slardaroften banned
nicky`cool · 32 games
Tiny
nicky`cool · 28 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 26 games
Chensignature
Hduo · 24 games
Tusk
Immersion · 22 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 19 games
Team Stels
Hoodwink
lupsione · 2 games
Rubick
lupsione · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Ringmaster
ArrOw · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 1 game
Snapfire
ArrOw · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
487 picks · 271 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 549 bans
Jakiro
478 picks · 392 bans
Tiny
455 picks · 350 bans
Tusk
398 picks · 336 bans
Beastmaster
360 picks · 828 bans
Puck
349 picks · 859 bans
Warlock
341 picks · 198 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:28
Power Rangers 74%Team Stels 26%
The model gave 74% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 53:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidEyesight
Nyx Assassinlupsione
Keeper of the Lightnicky`cool
LargoAlberkaaa
HoodwinkImmersion
GrimstrokeHduo
Game 2prediction correct41:17
Power Rangers 70%Team Stels 30%
The model gave 70% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 29:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverEyesight
Rubicklupsione
BristlebackAlberkaaa
Slardarnicky`cool
PhoenixHduo
HoodwinkImmersion
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 86%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2