Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
PRISM Esportswin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
500 Bananasloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PRISM Esports
No games played over 6 months.
500 Bananas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
465 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 637 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
393 picks · 699 bans
Centaur Warrunner
392 picks · 561 bans
Rubick
366 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 759 bans
Shadow Demon
328 picks · 928 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% PRISM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% 500 Bananas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:10
PRISM Esports 48%500 Bananas 52%
The model gave 52% on 500 Bananas — the game was taken by PRISM Esports in 24:36.
Model check result
Model favorite500 Bananas · 52%
Series resultPRISM Esports 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1