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Riyadh Masters 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questwin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Elevate Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 22 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
OmaR · 18 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 16 games
44%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 16 games
38%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 15 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TA2000 · 15 games
47%

Elevate Gaming

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
dalul · 2 games
100%
Zeus
Zeusoften banned
MamangDaya · 2 games
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Boomy · 1 game
100%
Meepo
Meepooften banned
Karma丶 · 1 game
100%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Karma丶 · 1 game
100%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Boomy · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 223 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
444 picks · 694 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
433 picks · 612 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 387 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
414 picks · 747 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
386 picks · 161 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 751 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
347 picks · 1038 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Elevate Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:17
PSG Quest 78%Elevate Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 47:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciTA2000
54% · 40 games50% · 78 games
Naga SirenKarma丶
Naga Siren
Puck
PuckNo!ob
44% · 150 games64% · 124 games
Storm SpiritMamangDaya
Storm Spirit
Slardar
SlardarMalik
50% · 78 games49% · 117 games
Clockwerkdalul
Clockwerk
Dark Willow
Dark WillowOmaR
41% · 140 games50% · 151 game
GrimstrokeBoomy
Grimstroke
Io
IoDukalis
49% · 62 games
Game 2prediction correct40:12
PSG Quest 78%Elevate Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 45:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyTA2000
47% · 111 games54% · 122 games
Naga SirenKarma丶
Naga Siren
Underlord
UnderlordMalik
56% · 45 games54% · 100 games
LinaMamangDaya
Lina
Windranger
WindrangerNo!ob
46% · 87 games49% · 175 games
Snapfiredalul
Snapfire
Phoenix
PhoenixDukalis
43% · 141 game51% · 59 games
VenomancerBoomy
Venomancer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowOmaR
51% · 72 games
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 93%
Series resultPSG Quest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2