BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questwin 1:0series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Riyadh Chefsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Rubick
OmaR · 30 games
Naga Sirensignature
TA2000 · 16 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 15 games
Phoenixoften banned
Kaori · 14 games
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 14 games
Miranasignature
OmaR · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
Earthshaker
No!ob · 11 games
Riyadh Chefs
Magnusoften banned
OwnedMe · 2 games
Axe
OwnedMe · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
OwnedMe · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
OwnedMe · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
OwnedMe · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
267 picks · 444 bans
Phoenix
242 picks · 387 bans
Centaur Warrunner
235 picks · 317 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 481 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% PSG Quest
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total94% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
PSG Quest 94%Riyadh Chefs 6%
The model gave 94% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 94%
Series resultPSG Quest 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1