Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 13 games
Earth Spiritsignature
OmaR · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 11 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 11 games
Shadow Shamansignature
OmaR · 11 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 9 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 7 games
YNT
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
Bane
dSa · 7 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 435 bans
Mars
466 picks · 694 bans
Dragon Knight
432 picks · 536 bans
Bane
428 picks · 289 bans
Pangolier
368 picks · 597 bans
Storm Spirit
366 picks · 589 bans
Sand King
339 picks · 503 bans
Keeper of the Light
336 picks · 767 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:25
PSG Quest 45%YNT 55%
The model gave 55% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 27:59.
Game 2prediction correct4:13
PSG Quest 45%YNT 55%
The model gave 55% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 19:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 55%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2