The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
PuckChamploss 0:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
summer bearwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
summer bear
Techies
Delight · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Gyrocopter
zuyzyan · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Panda · 1 game
Kezoften banned
zuyzyan · 1 game
Legion Commander
azimoff · 1 game
Omniknight
monodrama · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Panda · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
606 picks · 387 bans
Rubick
507 picks · 280 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
417 picks · 582 bans
Puck
339 picks · 946 bans
Tusk
339 picks · 276 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 491 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% PuckChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% summer bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
PuckChamp 45%summer bear 55%
The model gave 55% on summer bear — the game was taken by summer bear.
Model check result
Model favoritesummer bear · 55%
Series resultsummer bear 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1