?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
PuckChampwin 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
V-Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PuckChamp

No games played over 6 months.

V-Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 13 games
62%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 8 games
63%
Viper
Viperoften banned
hAze · 7 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Malady · 6 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ArrOw · 6 games
50%
Medusa
Medusasignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 6 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
hAze · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
417 picks · 169 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
314 picks · 521 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 469 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
301 picks · 622 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
298 picks · 733 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
276 picks · 356 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
276 picks · 156 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
264 picks · 217 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% V-Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:12
PuckChamp 55%V-Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 31:28.
Game 2prediction missed53:35
PuckChamp 55%V-Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 54:25.
Game 3prediction missed11:30
PuckChamp 55%V-Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 32:43.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 55%
Series resultPuckChamp 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3