FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionPEPukllay Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Numa Numa leiwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pukllay Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Numa Numa lei
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
486 picks · 655 bans
Clockwerk
447 picks · 519 bans
Pangolier
381 picks · 564 bans
Dark Willow
371 picks · 190 bans
Batrider
344 picks · 382 bans
Muerta
326 picks · 246 bans
Luna
322 picks · 425 bans
Invoker
320 picks · 896 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Pukllay Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Numa Numa lei
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Pukllay Esports 44%Numa Numa lei 56%
The model gave 56% on Numa Numa lei — the game was taken by Numa Numa lei.
Game 2prediction correct
Pukllay Esports 44%Numa Numa lei 56%
The model gave 56% on Numa Numa lei — the game was taken by Numa Numa lei.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuma Numa lei · 56%
Series resultNuma Numa lei 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2