Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionPEPuraka Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SDSIN DPC!!!win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Puraka Esports
No games played over 6 months.
SIN DPC!!!
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
765 picks · 496 bans
Tiny
544 picks · 382 bans
Tusk
538 picks · 432 bans
Treant Protector
533 picks · 575 bans
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 637 bans
Snapfire
394 picks · 274 bans
Death Prophet
382 picks · 697 bans
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 773 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Puraka Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% SIN DPC!!!
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:39
Puraka Esports 50%SIN DPC!!! 50%
The model gave 50% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by SIN DPC!!! in 29:52.
Game 2prediction correct16:33
Puraka Esports 50%SIN DPC!!! 50%
The model gave 50% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by SIN DPC!!! in 26:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIN DPC!!! · 50%
Series resultSIN DPC!!! 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2