FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quantum Team
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 7 games
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
Snapfire
Somnia · 5 games
Dark Willow
Somnia · 4 games
Blue Submarine
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
483 picks · 663 bans
Clockwerk
427 picks · 499 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 547 bans
Dark Willow
361 picks · 183 bans
Batrider
331 picks · 355 bans
Luna
329 picks · 433 bans
Invoker
312 picks · 850 bans
Enchantress
311 picks · 605 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Blue Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Blue Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:35
Quantum Team 41%Blue Submarine 59%
The model gave 59% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by Blue Submarine in 43:34.
Game 2prediction correct15:37
Quantum Team 41%Blue Submarine 59%
The model gave 59% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by Blue Submarine in 29:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlue Submarine · 59%
Series resultBlue Submarine 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2