CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quantum Team
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 12 games
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 12 games
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
Dark Willow
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 9 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 9 games
РАБОТЯГИ
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
spirit · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
asdekor_r · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 4 games
Pugna
asdekor_r · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 694 bans
Phoenix
495 picks · 795 bans
Clockwerk
479 picks · 479 bans
Batrider
446 picks · 542 bans
Muerta
426 picks · 367 bans
Magnus
417 picks · 1003 bans
Bristleback
396 picks · 912 bans
Gyrocopter
392 picks · 760 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% РАБОТЯГИ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:13
Quantum Team 54%РАБОТЯГИ 46%
The model gave 54% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 34:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetLukas
Ursassnovv1
EarthshakerRvze
PuckMirele
Tidehuntertakizawa
Underlordspirit
RubickFezor
Jakiroasdekor_r
Leshrackolya_kaBAN68
TuskSomnia
Game 2prediction missed13:33
Quantum Team 52%РАБОТЯГИ 48%
The model gave 52% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ in 41:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordLukas
Lifestealerssnovv1
TinyRvze
PangolierMirele
Magnustakizawa
Slardarspirit
Weaverkolya_kaBAN68
Jakiroasdekor_r
PugnaFezor
RubickSomnia
Game 3prediction correct24:36
Quantum Team 54%РАБОТЯГИ 46%
The model gave 54% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 1:01:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenLukas
SniperMirele
Nature's Prophetkolya_kaBAN68
Slarkssnovv1
EarthshakerRvze
Slardarspirit
Tidehuntertakizawa
Jakiroasdekor_r
Winter WyvernFezor
RikiSomnia
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 56%
Series resultQuantum Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3