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CCT Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 16 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
emptiness · 13 games
23%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 12 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 11 games
27%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Palantimos · 10 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 24 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 24 games
38%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 20 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 18 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 18 games
72%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 17 games
82%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
564 picks · 634 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
488 picks · 248 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
462 picks · 424 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
399 picks · 848 bans
47%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
378 picks · 434 bans
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
377 picks · 561 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
373 picks · 327 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
355 picks · 831 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:51
Quantum Team 35%Wildcard Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 42:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAinkrad
49% · 190 games43% · 215 games
GyrocopterYamSun
Gyrocopter
Razor
RazorLukas
44% · 92 games54% · 61 game
Death ProphetRCY
Death Prophet
Brewmaster
BrewmasterPalantimos
50% · 84 games56% · 128 games
EnigmaFayde
Enigma
Rubick
Rubickemptiness
44% · 117 games56% · 91 game
Naga SirenSpeeed
Naga Siren
Undying
UndyingMary_y
55% · 56 games51% · 44 games
AxeBignum
Axe
Game 2prediction correct13:48
Quantum Team 33%Wildcard Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 37:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterLukas
54% · 326 games50% · 194 games
LifestealerYamSun
Lifestealer
Tiny
TinyAinkrad
49% · 509 games49% · 612 games
PangolierFayde
Pangolier
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerPalantimos
48% · 190 games49% · 266 games
PuckRCY
Puck
Dark Willow
Dark Willowemptiness
46% · 288 games51% · 451 game
BatriderSpeeed
Batrider
Jakiro
JakiroMary_y
45% · 261 game64% · 51 game
BaneBignum
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 76%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2