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CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamwin 2:0
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zero Tenacityloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 13 games
31%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 12 games
58%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 11 games
36%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
40%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 10 games
30%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
11%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
22%

Zero Tenacity

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 35 games
37%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 31 game
52%
Lion
Lion
Pablo · 27 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 23 games
39%
Lich
Lich
LeBronDota · 23 games
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Stojkov · 23 games
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 23 games
48%
Muerta
Muerta
Pablo · 22 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 723 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
493 picks · 797 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
479 picks · 481 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
441 picks · 541 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
432 picks · 370 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
424 picks · 1012 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
398 picks · 921 bans
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
390 picks · 761 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 61%
Hero pool strength57% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total79% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:8
Quantum Team 35%Zero Tenacity 65%
The model gave 65% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 34:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusLukas
58% · 286 games44% · 121 game
Phantom AssassinRetsu
Phantom Assassin
Primal Beast
Primal Beasttakizawa
51% · 304 games45% · 407 games
PangolierStojkov
Pangolier
Monkey King
Monkey KingRvze
53% · 246 games49% · 258 games
PhoenixNefrit
Phoenix
Mirana
MiranaFezor
59% · 148 games42% · 211 games
TuskPablo
Tusk
Night Stalker
Night Stalkerkolya_kaBAN68
50% · 92 games49% · 79 games
WarlockLeBronDota
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed31:17
Quantum Team 34%Zero Tenacity 66%
The model gave 66% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 36:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetLukas
48% · 75 games49% · 110 games
TerrorbladeRetsu
Terrorblade
Tidehunter
Tidehuntertakizawa
49% · 76 games52% · 165 games
BeastmasterNefrit
Beastmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritRvze
54% · 179 games48% · 55 games
Queen of PainStojkov
Queen of Pain
Leshrac
Leshrackolya_kaBAN68
54% · 125 games58% · 114 games
MiranaPablo
Mirana
Abaddon
AbaddonFezor
43% · 75 games44% · 86 games
Elder TitanLeBronDota
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 79%
Series resultQuantum Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2