Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
4 Zoomersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
434 picks · 267 bans
Queen of Pain
385 picks · 493 bans
Mars
350 picks · 490 bans
Weaver
349 picks · 493 bans
Kunkka
281 picks · 475 bans
Wraith King
253 picks · 337 bans
Death Prophet
249 picks · 364 bans
Grimstroke
244 picks · 175 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% Quincy Crew
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total51% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:30
Quincy Crew 51%4 Zoomers 49%
The model gave 51% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 1:16:12.
Game 2prediction missed36:14
Quincy Crew 51%4 Zoomers 49%
The model gave 51% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 44:39.
Game 3prediction missed27:23
Quincy Crew 51%4 Zoomers 49%
The model gave 51% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 55:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 51%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3